The global shipments of smartphones will reach 1.45 billion units by the end of 2016 with an increase of 0.6% compared to 2015. IDC stresses, however, that ‘ last year was recorded an increase of 10.4% compared to 2014. This means that the market tends to saturation . For the next four years is expected to increase by just 265 million units with an annual growth rate of 3.5%.
According to the analyst firm, an important contribution to the spread of smartphones will be given by the models with 4G connectivity . Their number is expected to increase from 967 million in 2015 to 1170000000 by the end of 2016 with a 21.3% increase. IDC predicts that in emerging countries the rate of 4G smart phones will rise from 61% to 77%, thanks to the availability of cheaper products and lower fares. In mature markets, however, the adoption rate will grow from 85% to 94% (despite some telephone operators, such as Italy 3 affording the LTE option for a fee, ed.)
Regarding the deployment of the mobile operating systems there will be nothing new, but it will increase the gap between Android and iOS. The number of smartphone Android will grow from about 1.3 billion in 2016 to approximately 1.45 billion in 2020 and the market share will rise from 85% to 85.6%. Deliveries of iPhone will increase from 206 million to 244 million, a decrease of the market share of 0.1%.
IDC has repeatedly wrong forecasts for Windows Phone, but this time there will be no surprises. Smartphones with Microsoft operating system are doomed to extinction, rising from 6.1 million units in 2016 to 1 million in 2020. Today a few producers (the best known are HP and Alcatel ) still believe in Windows Mobile 10 . The last hope is called Surface Phone .